Moldova Super Liga Β· Β·Matchday 17

Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani

Garuda Lions Prediction: Milsami Orhei

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei

Milsami Orhei 38%
Draw 29%
Dacia-Buiucani 33%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Milsami Orhei wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
53%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
9% of simulated outcomes

Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMilsami OrheiDrawDacia-Buiucani
Model38.1%29.1%32.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final38.1%29.1%32.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani match preview

Milsami Orhei faces Dacia-Buiucani in the Moldova Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Milsami Orhei has a 38% probability of winning, while Dacia-Buiucani stands at 33%, and a draw is forecasted at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Milsami Orhei, with an expected goals tally of 1.33 compared to Dacia-Buiucani's 1.24.

Recent form shows Milsami Orhei with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches, while Dacia-Buiucani has three wins, one draw, and a loss in the same timeframe. In their last seven encounters, Milsami Orhei has dominated with five wins, one draw, and only one loss to Dacia-Buiucani. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Milsami Orhei ↓ / Dacia-Buiucani β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Milsami Orhei and Dacia-Buiucani expected goals

Milsami Orhei 1.34
Dacia-Buiucani 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.57

Milsami Orhei and Dacia-Buiucani attack and defence ratings

Milsami Orhei

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Dacia-Buiucani

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 17 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Milsami Orhei 38.1% 2.62 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.7% 1.90 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 53.5% 1.87 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.9% 1.41 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.62 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Milsami Orhei38.1%
Draw29.1%
Dacia-Buiucani32.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.3%
Under 2.552.7%
Both teams to scoreYes53.5%
No46.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.2%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)61.9%
Handicap -1Milsami Orhei win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-09.0%
0-08.9%

Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani stats

Milsami Orhei and Dacia-Buiucani recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Milsami Orhei and Dacia-Buiucani season so far

league record

Milsami Orhei record

  • They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.

Dacia-Buiucani record

  • They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

5Milsami Orhei wins 1Draws 1Dacia-Buiucani wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-30Dacia-BuiucaniMilsami OrheiMoldova Super Liga0-0
2026-07-12Milsami OrheiDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga0-1
2026-05-09Dacia-BuiucaniMilsami OrheiMoldova Super Liga1-2
2026-04-04Milsami OrheiDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga1-0
2025-11-08Dacia-BuiucaniMilsami OrheiMoldova Super Liga0-2
2025-09-13Milsami OrheiDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga3-2
2025-07-19Dacia-BuiucaniMilsami OrheiMoldova Super Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Milsami Orhei Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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