Dacia-Buiucani
vs
Politehnica UTM
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dacia-Buiucani
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM
| Probability | Dacia-Buiucani | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 27.5% | 31.6% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 40.9% | 27.5% | 31.6% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Dacia-Buiucani
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM match preview
Dacia-Buiucani faces Politehnica UTM in what promises to be an intriguing matchup in the Moldova Super Liga. According to our model, Dacia-Buiucani has a 41% probability of winning, while Politehnica UTM stands at 32%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The expected goals indicate Dacia-Buiucani at 1.50 and Politehnica UTM at 1.30, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Dacia-Buiucani, with a 9% likelihood.
Recent form shows Dacia-Buiucani with a mixed record of L-W-D-L-W-W, while Politehnica UTM has struggled, recording L-L-W-D-L-L. In their last five head-to-head encounters, Dacia-Buiucani has secured 2 wins, while Politehnica UTM has claimed 3 victories. The model also indicates a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dacia-Buiucani and Politehnica UTM expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Dacia-Buiucani and Politehnica UTM attack and defence ratings
Dacia-Buiucani
Politehnica UTM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dacia-Buiucani | 40.9% | 2.45 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dacia-Buiucani | 40.9% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Politehnica UTM | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dacia-Buiucani win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM stats
Dacia-Buiucani and Politehnica UTM recent form
| Dacia-Buiucani |
LWDLWW |
| Politehnica UTM |
LLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dacia-Buiucani and Politehnica UTM season so far
Dacia-Buiucani record
- They have won 7 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 16 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 5 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 16 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Politehnica UTM | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dacia-Buiucani | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 1-5 |
| 2025-11-01 | Politehnica UTM | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Dacia-Buiucani | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-07-12 | Politehnica UTM | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.