Petrocub
vs
Sheriff Tiraspol
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sheriff Tiraspol
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β Sheriff Tiraspol is the favourite, not a value bet.
Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol
| Probability | Petrocub | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 27.2% | 32.5% |
| Market | 29.6% | 30.0% | 40.4% |
| Final | 32.3% | 29.3% | 38.4% |
| Edge | +2.7% | -0.7% | -2.0% |
Why Sheriff Tiraspol
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.3% per unit staked (our 38.4% Γ 2.31 β 1).
Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol match preview
In the upcoming Moldova Super Liga match, Petrocub faces Sheriff Tiraspol on November 7, 2026. Petrocub has a 32% probability of winning, while Sheriff Tiraspol stands at 38%, with a 29% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a 59% probability, and there is a 55% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals.
Recent form shows Petrocub with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Sheriff Tiraspol has an impressive run of six consecutive wins. In their last ten encounters, Sheriff Tiraspol has the upper hand with five wins compared to Petrocub's three. Expected goals are 1.52 for Petrocub and 1.35 for Sheriff Tiraspol, indicating a competitive match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Petrocub and Sheriff Tiraspol expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Petrocub and Sheriff Tiraspol attack and defence ratings
Petrocub
Sheriff Tiraspol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 38.4% | 2.60 | -2.0% | 2.31 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% | 1.69 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.7% | 1.41 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.5% | 1.48 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrocub | 32.3% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% |
| No | 41.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheriff Tiraspol win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 67.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol stats
Petrocub and Sheriff Tiraspol recent form
| Petrocub |
WWDDWW |
| Sheriff Tiraspol |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Petrocub and Sheriff Tiraspol season so far
Petrocub record
- They have won 9 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sheriff Tiraspol record
- They have won 11 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Petrocub | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 2-3 |
| 2026-05-13 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Petrocub | Cupa | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Petrocub | Sheriff Tiraspol | Cupa | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Petrocub | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Petrocub | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Petrocub | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Petrocub | Super Liga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.6%, draw 30.0%, away 40.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 2.99 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 2.95 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 2.99 | 2.19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10 | 2.87 | 2.24 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.88 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .