Zimbru
vs
Sireți
4 – 0 Full time
Zimbru vs Sireți overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zimbru vs Sireți
| Probability | Zimbru | Draw | Sireți |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.1% | 23.6% | 12.3% |
| Market | 73.4% | 17.5% | 9.1% |
| Final | 71.0% | 19.0% | 9.9% |
| Edge | -2.3% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
Why Zimbru
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.70.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zimbru and Sireți expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Zimbru and Sireți attack and defence ratings
Zimbru
Sireți
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zimbru vs Sireți: result vs prediction
Zimbru 4 – 0 Sireți
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zimbru vs Sireți markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 71.0% | 1.41 | -2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 71.0% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Sireți | 9.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.4% |
| No | 56.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 35.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.4% |
| 2-0 | 13.4% | |
| 1-1 | 11.1% |
Zimbru vs Sireți stats
Zimbru and Sireți recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zimbru and Sireți going into this match
Zimbru record
- They have won 9 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
Sireți record
- They have won 2 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Zimbru vs Sireți head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sireți | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Zimbru | Sireți | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zimbru vs Sireți odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.4%, draw 17.5%, away 9.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 5.15 | 11.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 4.90 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 5.60 | 9.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.20 | 5.15 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 5.15 | 8.04 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 4.60 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .