Sireți
vs
Politehnica UTM
Garuda Lions Prediction: Politehnica UTM
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sireți vs Politehnica UTM
| Probability | Sireți | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.9% | 28.4% | 42.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.9% | 28.4% | 42.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Politehnica UTM
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM match preview
Sireți faces Politehnica UTM in the Moldova Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Politehnica UTM holds a 43% probability of winning, while Sireți has a 29% chance, and a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals for Sireți are 1.16, compared to 1.47 for Politehnica UTM. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%.
Recent form shows Sireți struggling with six consecutive matches without a win, while Politehnica UTM has seen a mix of results, including two wins in their last five. In their last five head-to-head encounters, Sireți has not secured a victory, recording zero wins, two draws, and three losses against Politehnica UTM. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sireți and Politehnica UTM expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.62
Sireți and Politehnica UTM attack and defence ratings
Sireți
Politehnica UTM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Politehnica UTM | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sireți | 28.9% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Politehnica UTM | 42.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Politehnica UTM win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 9.0% |
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM stats
Sireți and Politehnica UTM recent form
| Sireți |
LLWLLL |
| Politehnica UTM |
LWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sireți and Politehnica UTM season so far
Sireți record
- They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Politehnica UTM | Sireți | Moldova Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Sireți | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Politehnica UTM | Sireți | Moldova Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Sireți | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Politehnica UTM | Sireți | Cupa | 6-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.