Moldova Super Liga · ·Matchday 16

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți

Garuda Lions Prediction: Dacia-Buiucani

1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability

Joma Arena

Dacia-Buiucani 45%
Draw 32%
Sireți 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Dacia-Buiucani wins
45%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
42%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDacia-BuiucaniDrawSireți
Model44.9%31.7%23.4%
Market———
Final44.9%31.7%23.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Dacia-Buiucani

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți match preview

Dacia-Buiucani enters the match against Sireți with a 45% probability of winning, while Sireți has a 23% chance. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring at a rate of 14%. Dacia-Buiucani's expected goals stand at 1.26 compared to Sireți's 0.83, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from the home side.

In terms of recent form, Dacia-Buiucani has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches. Conversely, Sireți has struggled, managing only one win and experiencing four losses in their recent outings. The head-to-head record shows Dacia-Buiucani with one win and one draw against Sireți, who has yet to secure a victory in their encounters.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dacia-Buiucani ↓ / Sireți → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Dacia-Buiucani and Sireți expected goals

Dacia-Buiucani 1.26
Sireți 0.83

Total expected goals: 2.09

Dacia-Buiucani and Sireți attack and defence ratings

Dacia-Buiucani

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Sireți

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 16 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dacia-Buiucani 44.9% 2.23 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.6% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.1% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dacia-Buiucani44.9%
Draw31.7%
Sireți23.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.7%
Under 2.565.3%
Both teams to scoreYes41.7%
No58.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.6%
12 (either side)68.3%
X2 (draw or away)55.1%
Handicap -1Dacia-Buiucani win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss55.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.3%
1-114.3%
0-013.7%

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți stats

Dacia-Buiucani and Sireți recent form

newest first
Dacia-Buiucani DLWWLD
Sireți LWLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dacia-Buiucani and Sireți season so far

league record

Dacia-Buiucani record

  • They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sireți record

  • They have won 1 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Dacia-Buiucani wins 1Draws 0Sireți wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-23SirețiDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga0-0
2026-07-05Dacia-BuiucaniSirețiMoldova Super Liga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Dacia-Buiucani Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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