Moldova Super Liga · ·Matchday 17

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub

Garuda Lions Prediction: Petrocub

0 – 2 Predicted score · 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 0.63.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stadionul Orasenesc, Balti

CSF Bălți 6%
Draw 14%
Petrocub 81%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Petrocub wins
81%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 2
13% of simulated outcomes

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSF Bălți vs Petrocub

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSF BălțiDrawPetrocub
Model5.5%13.7%80.7%
Market———
Final5.5%13.7%80.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Petrocub

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 0.63.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub match preview

CSF Bălți faces a challenging match against Petrocub, with the model indicating a significant advantage for the visitors. CSF Bălți has struggled recently, recording six consecutive losses, while Petrocub's form includes four wins and two draws in their last six matches. The probabilities suggest a strong likelihood of a Petrocub victory at 81%, with a predicted scoreline of 0-2 being the most probable outcome.

The expected goals further highlight the disparity, with CSF Bălți projected to score 0.63 goals compared to Petrocub's 2.73. Additionally, there is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is estimated at 44%. Historically, in their last seven encounters, CSF Bălți has not secured a win, with Petrocub dominating with four victories.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSF Bălți ↓ / Petrocub → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 13% 12% 16% 1 8% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

CSF Bălți and Petrocub expected goals

CSF Bălți 0.63
Petrocub 2.73

Total expected goals: 3.36

CSF Bălți and Petrocub attack and defence ratings

CSF Bălți

Attack 0.51 -49%
Defence 2.08 +108%

Petrocub

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 17 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Petrocub 80.7% 1.24 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 94.5% 1.06 — —
Handicap -1 Petrocub win 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSF Bălți5.5%
Draw13.7%
Petrocub80.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.3%
Under 2.534.7%
Both teams to scoreYes44.4%
No55.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)19.3%
12 (either side)86.3%
X2 (draw or away)94.5%
Handicap -1Petrocub win61.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss19.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-212.9%
0-311.8%
0-18.9%

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub stats

CSF Bălți and Petrocub recent form

newest first
CSF Bălți LLLLLL
Petrocub WDDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSF Bălți and Petrocub season so far

league record

CSF Bălți record

  • They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.

Petrocub record

  • They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 15 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

0CSF Bălți wins 3Draws 4Petrocub wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-30PetrocubCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga3-0
2026-07-11CSF BălțiPetrocubMoldova Super Liga1-1
2026-05-10PetrocubCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga3-0
2026-04-05CSF BălțiPetrocubMoldova Super Liga0-2
2025-10-04PetrocubCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga0-0
2025-08-09CSF BălțiPetrocubMoldova Super Liga0-1
2025-06-22PetrocubCSF BălțiMoldova Super Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Petrocub Predicted score 0 – 2 Low Bet Now
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