Milsami Orhei
vs
Politehnica UTM
Garuda Lions Prediction: Milsami Orhei
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM
| Probability | Milsami Orhei | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 30.9% | 28.7% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 40.4% | 30.9% | 28.7% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Milsami Orhei
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM match preview
Milsami Orhei faces Politehnica UTM in the Moldova Super Liga with Milsami holding a 40% probability of winning, while Politehnica has a 29% chance. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Milsami, occurring 12% of the time. The expected goals for Milsami are 1.26, compared to Politehnica's 1.02, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Milsami has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Conversely, Politehnica's recent performances show two losses, one win, one draw, and one win in their last five. Historically, Milsami has dominated their recent encounters, winning three of the last four matchups against Politehnica, with one draw and no wins for the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Milsami Orhei and Politehnica UTM expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Milsami Orhei and Politehnica UTM attack and defence ratings
Milsami Orhei
Politehnica UTM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milsami Orhei | 40.4% | 2.48 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% | 1.40 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milsami Orhei | 40.4% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Politehnica UTM | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Milsami Orhei win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-0 | 11.6% |
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM stats
Milsami Orhei and Politehnica UTM recent form
| Milsami Orhei |
WLWDWL |
| Politehnica UTM |
LLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Milsami Orhei and Politehnica UTM season so far
Milsami Orhei record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Politehnica UTM | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Politehnica UTM | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 0-5 |
| 2025-08-17 | Milsami Orhei | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Politehnica UTM | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.