Milsami Orhei
vs
Politehnica UTM
3 – 3 Full time
| 5′ | S. Platica | ||
| 8′ | M. Caruntu | ||
| 14′ | Politehnica UTM | ||
| 37′ | A. Sejdiu | ||
| 50′ | Politehnica UTM | ||
| 56′ | M. Caruntu | ||
| 59′ | P. Odubia | ||
| 68′ | Milsami Orhei | ||
| 77′ | S. Gandi | ||
| 83′ | Milsami Orhei |
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM
| Probability | Milsami Orhei | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 31.0% | 29.3% |
| Market | 58.9% | 23.5% | 17.6% |
| Final | 54.1% | 25.4% | 20.5% |
| Edge | -4.8% | +1.9% | +2.9% |
Why Milsami Orhei
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Milsami Orhei and Politehnica UTM expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Milsami Orhei and Politehnica UTM attack and defence ratings
Milsami Orhei
Politehnica UTM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM: result vs prediction
Milsami Orhei 3 – 3 Politehnica UTM
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milsami Orhei | 54.1% | 1.85 | -4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milsami Orhei | 54.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Politehnica UTM | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Milsami Orhei win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-0 | 11.5% |
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM stats
Milsami Orhei and Politehnica UTM recent form
| Milsami Orhei |
WLWDWL |
| Politehnica UTM |
LLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Milsami Orhei and Politehnica UTM going into this match
Milsami Orhei record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Politehnica UTM | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Politehnica UTM | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 0-5 |
| 2025-08-17 | Milsami Orhei | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Politehnica UTM | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.9%, draw 23.5%, away 17.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 3.80 | 5.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 3.85 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 3.80 | 5.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 3.79 | 5.17 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .