Petrocub
vs
Zimbru
1 – 1 Full time
| 37′ | Zimbru | ||
| 65′ | A. Betivu | ||
| 72′ | P. Popescu |
Petrocub vs Zimbru overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petrocub vs Zimbru
| Probability | Petrocub | Draw | Zimbru |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.6% | 27.2% | 44.2% |
| Market | 36.8% | 28.6% | 34.6% |
| Final | 34.7% | 28.3% | 37.0% |
| Edge | -2.0% | -0.3% | +2.4% |
Why Zimbru
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Zimbru below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Petrocub and Zimbru expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Petrocub and Zimbru attack and defence ratings
Petrocub
Zimbru
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Petrocub vs Zimbru: result vs prediction
Petrocub 1 – 1 Zimbru
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Petrocub vs Zimbru markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 37.0% | 2.70 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrocub | 34.7% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Zimbru | 37.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Petrocub vs Zimbru stats
Petrocub and Zimbru recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Petrocub and Zimbru going into this match
Petrocub record
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zimbru record
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrocub vs Zimbru head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Petrocub | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Petrocub | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Petrocub | Zimbru | Super Liga | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-06 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Super Liga | 3-2 |
| 2024-11-23 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Petrocub | Zimbru | Super Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Petrocub vs Zimbru odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.8%, draw 28.6%, away 34.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.12 | 2.57 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 3.12 | 2.57 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .