Petrocub
vs
Zimbru
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zimbru
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
Petrocub vs Zimbru overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petrocub vs Zimbru
| Probability | Petrocub | Draw | Zimbru |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.2% | 27.3% | 43.5% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 29.2% | 27.3% | 43.5% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Zimbru
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Petrocub vs Zimbru match preview
Petrocub faces Zimbru in the Moldova Super Liga with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a probability of 29% for a Petrocub victory, while Zimbru holds a 43% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 27%. The expected goals suggest Petrocub will score 1.24 and Zimbru 1.56, with a likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 57%.
Recent form shows Petrocub with two wins, one draw, and three losses, while Zimbru is in strong form with six consecutive wins. In their last six encounters, Petrocub has secured three wins and three draws against Zimbru, who has yet to win in this matchup. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Zimbru, with a confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Petrocub and Zimbru expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Petrocub and Zimbru attack and defence ratings
Petrocub
Zimbru
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Petrocub vs Zimbru markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 43.5% | 2.30 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.75 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrocub | 29.2% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Zimbru | 43.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
Petrocub vs Zimbru stats
Petrocub and Zimbru recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Petrocub and Zimbru season so far
Petrocub record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zimbru record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrocub vs Zimbru head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Petrocub | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Zimbru | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Petrocub | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.