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Moldova Super Liga Β· Β·Matchday 14

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Garuda Lions Prediction: Sheriff Tiraspol

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Bet on Sheriff Tiraspol

Joma Arena

Dacia-Buiucani 16%
Draw 22%
Sheriff Tiraspol 62%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Sheriff Tiraspol wins
62%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDacia-BuiucaniDrawSheriff Tiraspol
Model32.7%28.2%39.0%
Market11.0%20.0%69.0%
Final16.4%22.0%61.5%
Edge+21.7%+8.3%-30.0%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 1.34, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol match preview

Dacia-Buiucani faces Sheriff Tiraspol in the Moldova Super Liga with model probabilities indicating a competitive match. Dacia-Buiucani has a 33% chance of winning, while Sheriff Tiraspol is slightly favored at 39%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals for Dacia-Buiucani is 1.28, compared to Sheriff Tiraspol's 1.41, suggesting a closely contested encounter.

In terms of recent form, Dacia-Buiucani has recorded two wins, one loss, and three draws in their last six matches. Sheriff Tiraspol, on the other hand, has achieved three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. Historically, Sheriff Tiraspol has dominated their recent encounters, winning all six of the last head-to-head matches against Dacia-Buiucani.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dacia-Buiucani ↓ / Sheriff Tirasp β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Dacia-Buiucani and Sheriff Tiraspol expected goals

Dacia-Buiucani 1.28
Sheriff Tiraspol 1.41

Total expected goals: 2.69

Dacia-Buiucani and Sheriff Tiraspol attack and defence ratings

Dacia-Buiucani

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Sheriff Tiraspol

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheriff Tiraspol 61.5% 1.63 -30.0% 1.34
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 55.8% 1.79 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 83.6% 1.20 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dacia-Buiucani16.4%
Draw22.0%
Sheriff Tiraspol61.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.4%
Under 2.549.6%
Both teams to scoreYes55.8%
No44.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)38.5%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)83.6%
Handicap -1Sheriff Tiraspol win19.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-28.7%
0-18.4%
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Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol stats

Dacia-Buiucani and Sheriff Tiraspol recent form

newest first
Dacia-Buiucani WWLDDW
Sheriff Tiraspol WWDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dacia-Buiucani and Sheriff Tiraspol season so far

league record

Dacia-Buiucani record

  • They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sheriff Tiraspol record

  • They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Dacia-Buiucani wins 0Draws 10Sheriff Tiraspol wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-09Sheriff TiraspolDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga1-0
2026-05-03Dacia-BuiucaniSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga1-2
2026-04-21Dacia-BuiucaniSheriff TiraspolCupa1-2
2026-03-20Sheriff TiraspolDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga2-0
2026-03-04Sheriff TiraspolDacia-BuiucaniCupa2-0
2025-11-30Dacia-BuiucaniSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga0-4
2025-09-27Sheriff TiraspolDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga1-0
2025-08-03Dacia-BuiucaniSheriff TiraspolMoldova Super Liga0-2
2024-09-29Dacia-BuiucaniSheriff TiraspolSuper Liga1-3
2024-08-04Sheriff TiraspolDacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 11.0%, draw 20.0%, away 69.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 9.25 4.55 1.28
Bet365 7.50 4.50 1.33
Betano 7.50 4.30 1.34
Betfair 8.50 4.75 1.29
Dafabet 8.40 4.80 1.33
Marathonbet 8.00 4.50 1.29
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Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far β€” movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 2 Sheriff Tiraspol Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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