Moldova Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 13

Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani

0 – 1 Full time

18′V. Ciumasu
42′T. Ceijas
46′M. EbikaboweiA. Betivu
54′S. Turcan
55′S. Turcan
57′T. ButucelA. Bonnah
64′V. CiumasuA. Josan
65′A. Muntean
68′C. Nagurnea
73′T. CeijasP. Dias
73′A. MacritchiiV. Boico
76′A. MunteanC. Ghedroutan
76′V. ColisD. Baciu
78′R. Novicov
79′R. RosarioV. Raileanu
82′D. CalestruD. Popovici
82′S. TurcanI. Ciobanu
84′A. Betivu
90′R. Dumenco

Stadionul Zimbru

Zimbru 67%
Draw 21%
Dacia-Buiucani 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZimbruDrawDacia-Buiucani
Model60.7%23.9%15.4%
Market69.1%19.5%11.4%
Final67.0%20.6%12.4%
Edge-8.4%+4.4%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Zimbru

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zimbru ↓ / Dacia-Buiucani → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Zimbru and Dacia-Buiucani expected goals

Zimbru 1.89
Dacia-Buiucani 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.74

Zimbru and Dacia-Buiucani attack and defence ratings

Zimbru

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Dacia-Buiucani

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani: result vs prediction

Zimbru 0 – 1 Dacia-Buiucani

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zimbru 67.0% 1.49 -8.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.6% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.4% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zimbru67.0%
Draw20.6%
Dacia-Buiucani12.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes49.7%
No50.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.6%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)33.0%
Handicap -1Zimbru win36.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss39.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.5%
1-111.4%
1-011.1%

Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani stats

Zimbru and Dacia-Buiucani recent form

newest first
Zimbru WWWWWL
Dacia-Buiucani WLDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zimbru and Dacia-Buiucani going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zimbru record

  • They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dacia-Buiucani record

  • They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Zimbru wins 3Draws 0Dacia-Buiucani wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02Dacia-BuiucaniZimbruMoldova Super Liga0-4
2026-04-25Dacia-BuiucaniZimbruMoldova Super Liga0-3
2026-03-14ZimbruDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga3-2
2025-10-25Dacia-BuiucaniZimbruMoldova Super Liga2-2
2025-08-24ZimbruDacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga1-1
2025-07-06Dacia-BuiucaniZimbruMoldova Super Liga0-3
2025-02-19ZimbruDacia-BuiucaniFriendlies Clubs1-1
2024-11-03ZimbruDacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga1-0
2024-08-31Dacia-BuiucaniZimbruSuper Liga0-1
2024-04-27ZimbruDacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 69.1%, draw 19.5%, away 11.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.30 4.60 8.35
Bet365 1.30 4.50 7.50
Betano 1.31 4.65 7.60
Betfair 1.29 5.00 8.50
Marathonbet 1.28 4.60 7.90
Pinnacle 1.32 4.56 6.69
William Hill 1.33 4.20 8.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.