Politehnica UTM
vs
Petrocub
0 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | Petrocub | ||
| 34′ | Politehnica UTM | ||
| 43′ | Petrocub | ||
| 83′ | Politehnica UTM | ||
| 88′ | Petrocub | ||
| 90′ | Petrocub |
Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub
| Probability | Politehnica UTM | Draw | Petrocub |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 25.7% | 31.9% |
| Market | 22.1% | 25.0% | 52.9% |
| Final | 27.2% | 25.2% | 47.7% |
| Edge | +20.3% | +0.7% | -21.0% |
Why Petrocub
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Politehnica UTM and Petrocub expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Politehnica UTM and Petrocub attack and defence ratings
Politehnica UTM
Petrocub
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub: result vs prediction
Politehnica UTM 0 – 1 Petrocub
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrocub | 47.7% | 2.10 | -21.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Politehnica UTM | 27.2% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Petrocub | 47.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrocub win | 15.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 68.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub stats
Politehnica UTM and Petrocub recent form
| Politehnica UTM |
LWDLWD |
| Petrocub |
WDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Politehnica UTM and Petrocub going into this match
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrocub record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Petrocub | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Petrocub | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Politehnica UTM | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga | 0-5 |
| 2025-07-05 | Petrocub | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.1%, draw 25.0%, away 52.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.15 | 3.58 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.50 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 4.05 | 3.58 | 1.68 |
| Pinnacle | 3.89 | 3.46 | 1.72 |