Zimbru
vs
Politehnica UTM
2 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | S. Gandi | ||
| 13′ | Jonathas | ||
| 58′ | A. Bonnah | ||
| 60′ | Politehnica UTM | ||
| 90′ | Zimbru |
Zimbru vs Politehnica UTM overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zimbru vs Politehnica UTM
| Probability | Zimbru | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.7% | 23.6% | 18.7% |
| Market | 71.5% | 17.5% | 10.9% |
| Final | 68.0% | 19.1% | 12.9% |
| Edge | -13.9% | +6.1% | +7.8% |
Why Zimbru
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zimbru and Politehnica UTM expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Zimbru and Politehnica UTM attack and defence ratings
Zimbru
Politehnica UTM
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zimbru vs Politehnica UTM: result vs prediction
Zimbru 2 – 1 Politehnica UTM
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zimbru vs Politehnica UTM markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 68.0% | 1.47 | -13.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 68.0% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Politehnica UTM | 12.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.5% |
Zimbru vs Politehnica UTM stats
Zimbru and Politehnica UTM recent form
| Zimbru |
WWWWLW |
| Politehnica UTM |
WDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zimbru and Politehnica UTM going into this match
Zimbru record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Politehnica UTM record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zimbru vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Politehnica UTM | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Politehnica UTM | Zimbru | Cupa | 0-5 |
| 2026-03-03 | Zimbru | Politehnica UTM | Cupa | 5-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Zimbru | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Politehnica UTM | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-03 | Zimbru | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga | 7-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zimbru vs Politehnica UTM odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.5%, draw 17.5%, away 10.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 5.10 | 8.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.10 | 8.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 5.13 | 7.30 |