Moldova Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Sireți vs Zimbru

0 – 2 Full time

35′Sireți
41′Sireți
42′Matteo Amoroso
46′G. BrinzaniucA. Casco
46′A. BilinschiiE. Borovschi
51′Sireți
57′V. RebejaB. Rosca
62′Zimbru
65′A. BonnahV. Raileanu
65′Caio DantasA. Betivu
66′O. MollaD. Dosca
74′A. RusnacM. Blajchin
77′Zimbru
77′T. CeijasT. Butucel
77′Matteo AmorosoD. Boyko
90′JonathasE. Cociuc
90′R. Rosario

Nisporeni stadium

Sireți 12%
Draw 20%
Zimbru 68%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sireți vs Zimbru overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sireți vs Zimbru

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySirețiDrawZimbru
Model21.2%28.6%50.2%
Market9.1%17.2%73.8%
Final12.1%20.0%67.9%
Edge+12.1%+11.4%-23.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Zimbru

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.89.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sireți ↓ / Zimbru → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 10% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Sireți and Zimbru expected goals

Sireți 0.89
Zimbru 1.50

Total expected goals: 2.40

Sireți and Zimbru attack and defence ratings

Sireți

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Zimbru

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sireți vs Zimbru: result vs prediction

Sireți 0 – 2 Zimbru

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Sireți vs Zimbru markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zimbru 67.9% 1.47 -23.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.1% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score No 52.8% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.9% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.8% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sireți12.1%
Draw20.0%
Zimbru67.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.9%
Under 2.557.1%
Both teams to scoreYes47.2%
No52.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)32.1%
12 (either side)80.0%
X2 (draw or away)87.9%
Handicap -1Zimbru win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss49.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
0-112.5%
0-010.3%

Sireți vs Zimbru stats

Sireți and Zimbru recent form

newest first
Sireți DDDDDD
Zimbru WWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sireți and Zimbru going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sireți record

  • They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Zimbru record

  • They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Sireți vs Zimbru head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Sireți wins 1Draws 0Zimbru wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18ZimbruSirețiMoldova Super Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sireți vs Zimbru odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.1%, draw 17.2%, away 73.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 11.20 5.20 1.22
Bet365 9.00 5.25 1.25
Marathonbet 10.75 5.20 1.21
Pinnacle 8.64 5.37 1.21

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.