Moldova Super Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
CSF Bălți
vs
Milsami Orhei
1 – 3 Full time
| 3′ | R. Ginsari | ||
| 15′ | A. GhinaitisC. Gutul | ||
| 27′ | CSF Bălți | ||
| 36′ | N. Garciu | ||
| 45′ | CSF Bălți | ||
| 45′ | D. BurlacuV. Glavatchi | ||
| 54′ | Milsami Orhei | ||
| 60′ | A. SejdiuS. Chele | ||
| 60′ | Igor SouzaM. Ghecev | ||
| 75′ | C. Silcenco | ||
| 76′ | D. MuringenA. Angelov | ||
| 80′ | R. Ginsari | ||
| 84′ | CSF BălțiA. Bagrin | ||
| 84′ | CSF BălțiR. Gomez | ||
| 84′ | S. RogaD. Faina | ||
| 84′ | R. GinsariK. Dudziak |
CSF Bălți
18%
Draw
28%
Milsami Orhei
54%
CSF Bălți vs Milsami Orhei overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CSF Bălți vs Milsami Orhei
| Probability | CSF Bălți | Draw | Milsami Orhei |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.8% | 28.1% | 54.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.8% | 28.1% | 54.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Milsami Orhei
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
CSF Bălți and Milsami Orhei expected goals
CSF Bălți
0.78
Milsami Orhei
1.55
Total expected goals: 2.33
CSF Bălți and Milsami Orhei attack and defence ratings
CSF Bălți
Attack
0.55 -45%
Defence
1.74 +74%
Milsami Orhei
Attack
0.67 -33%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CSF Bălți vs Milsami Orhei: result vs prediction
CSF Bălți 1 – 3 Milsami Orhei
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
CSF Bălți vs Milsami Orhei markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milsami Orhei | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSF Bălți | 17.8% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Milsami Orhei | 54.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Milsami Orhei win | 29.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.0% | |
| 0-2 | 11.6% |
CSF Bălți vs Milsami Orhei stats
CSF Bălți and Milsami Orhei recent form
| CSF Bălți |
LLLDLL |
| Milsami Orhei |
DWLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CSF Bălți and Milsami Orhei going into this match
CSF Bălți record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Milsami Orhei record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
CSF Bălți vs Milsami Orhei head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3CSF Bălți wins
3Draws
4Milsami Orhei wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Milsami Orhei | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | CSF Bălți | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Milsami Orhei | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | CSF Bălți | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Milsami Orhei | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | CSF Bălți | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 3-3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Milsami Orhei | CSF Bălți | Super Liga | 5-0 |
| 2025-03-29 | CSF Bălți | Milsami Orhei | Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | CSF Bălți | Milsami Orhei | Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Milsami Orhei | CSF Bălți | Super Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.