Milsami Orhei
vs
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | Sheriff Tiraspol | ||
| 14′ | Milsami Orhei | ||
| 59′ | B. Fomba | ||
| 76′ | Sheriff Tiraspol | ||
| 90′ | Sheriff Tiraspol | ||
| 90′ | Sheriff Tiraspol |
Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff Tiraspol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff Tiraspol
| Probability | Milsami Orhei | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.7% | 28.2% | 31.0% |
| Market | 18.9% | 25.9% | 55.2% |
| Final | 24.4% | 26.4% | 49.2% |
| Edge | +21.8% | +2.4% | -24.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Milsami Orhei and Sheriff Tiraspol expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Milsami Orhei and Sheriff Tiraspol attack and defence ratings
Milsami Orhei
Sheriff Tiraspol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff Tiraspol: result vs prediction
Milsami Orhei 0 – 1 Sheriff Tiraspol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff Tiraspol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 49.2% | 2.03 | -24.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milsami Orhei | 24.4% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 49.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheriff Tiraspol win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 69.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.7% |
Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff Tiraspol stats
Milsami Orhei and Sheriff Tiraspol recent form
| Milsami Orhei |
WDWLDD |
| Sheriff Tiraspol |
DLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Milsami Orhei and Sheriff Tiraspol going into this match
Milsami Orhei record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Sheriff Tiraspol record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff Tiraspol head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Milsami Orhei | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Milsami Orhei | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Milsami Orhei | Sheriff Tiraspol | Moldova Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-24 | Milsami Orhei | Sheriff Tiraspol | Cupa | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Milsami Orhei | Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Milsami Orhei | Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-11-02 | Milsami Orhei | Sheriff Tiraspol | Super Liga | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff Tiraspol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.9%, draw 25.9%, away 55.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.84 | 3.48 | 1.65 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 3.48 | 1.63 |
| Pinnacle | 4.54 | 3.33 | 1.63 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 3.20 | 1.67 |