Moldova Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 12

Petrocub vs Sireți

2 – 1 Full time

41′Sireți
43′Petrocub
45′Petrocub
54′Sireți
63′Petrocub
65′Petrocub
69′Sireți
78′Sireți

Stadionul Municipal, Hincesti

Petrocub 68%
Draw 21%
Sireți 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Petrocub vs Sireți overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Petrocub vs Sireți

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPetrocubDrawSireți
Model50.2%28.3%21.4%
Market73.9%17.9%8.2%
Final68.0%20.5%11.5%
Edge-23.6%+10.4%+13.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Petrocub

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.91.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Petrocub ↓ / Sireți → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 12% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Petrocub and Sireți expected goals

Petrocub 1.52
Sireți 0.91

Total expected goals: 2.44

Petrocub and Sireți attack and defence ratings

Petrocub

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Sireți

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Petrocub vs Sireți: result vs prediction

Petrocub 2 – 1 Sireți

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Moldova Super Liga

Before and after this match

Petrocub vs Sireți markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Petrocub 68.0% 1.47 -23.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.5% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.7% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Petrocub68.0%
Draw20.5%
Sireți11.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.0%
Under 2.556.0%
Both teams to scoreYes48.1%
No51.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.5%
12 (either side)79.5%
X2 (draw or away)32.0%
Handicap -1Petrocub win26.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss49.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-012.1%
2-010.1%

Petrocub vs Sireți stats

Petrocub and Sireți recent form

newest first
Petrocub DWLLWW
Sireți LDDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Petrocub and Sireți going into this match

league record before kick-off

Petrocub record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sireți record

  • They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.

Petrocub vs Sireți head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Petrocub wins 1Draws 0Sireți wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26SirețiPetrocubMoldova Super Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Petrocub vs Sireți odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 73.9%, draw 17.9%, away 8.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.22 5.10 11.60
Bet365 1.22 5.00 9.00
Betano 1.25 4.90 9.50
Betfair 1.18 5.50 11.00
Marathonbet 1.21 5.10 11.00
Pinnacle 1.23 5.03 8.38
William Hill 1.25 4.60 12.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.