Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Flekkefjord vs Start

1 – 2 Full time

Flekkefjord 43%
Draw 25%
Start 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Flekkefjord vs Start overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Flekkefjord vs Start

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFlekkefjordDrawStart
Model43.2%25.3%31.5%
Market———
Final43.2%25.3%31.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Flekkefjord ↓ / Start → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Flekkefjord and Start expected goals

Flekkefjord 1.66
Start 1.53

Total expected goals: 3.19

Flekkefjord and Start attack and defence ratings

Flekkefjord

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Start

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Flekkefjord vs Start: result vs prediction

Flekkefjord 1 – 2 Start

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Flekkefjord vs Start markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Flekkefjord 43.2% 2.32 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.0% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Flekkefjord43.2%
Draw25.3%
Start31.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.5%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)56.8%
Handicap -1Flekkefjord win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss60.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.0%
1-27.6%

Flekkefjord vs Start stats

Flekkefjord and Start recent form

newest first
Flekkefjord no matches on record
Start LLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Flekkefjord vs Start head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Flekkefjord vs Start odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.