NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Harstad
vs
Tromsdalen Uil
0 – 1 Full time
Harstad
8%
Draw
10%
Tromsdalen Uil
82%
Harstad vs Tromsdalen Uil overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Harstad vs Tromsdalen Uil
| Probability | Harstad | Draw | Tromsdalen Uil |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.1% | 10.0% | 81.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 8.1% | 10.0% | 81.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tromsdalen Uil
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.50 vs 1.30.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
100%
2+ goals
98%
3+ goals
93%
No goals
0%
Harstad and Tromsdalen Uil expected goals
Harstad
1.30
Tromsdalen Uil
4.50
Total expected goals: 5.80
Harstad and Tromsdalen Uil attack and defence ratings
Harstad
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Tromsdalen Uil
Attack
1.50 +50%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Harstad vs Tromsdalen Uil: result vs prediction
Harstad 0 – 1 Tromsdalen Uil
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Harstad vs Tromsdalen Uil markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromsdalen Uil | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Tromsdalen Uil win | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Harstad | 8.1% |
| Draw | 10.0% | |
| Tromsdalen Uil | 81.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 91.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 8.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% |
| No | 23.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 18.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tromsdalen Uil win | 75.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.7% | |
| Loss | 12.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-4 | 6.6% |
| 1-3 | 6.4% | |
| 1-5 | 5.4% |
Harstad vs Tromsdalen Uil stats
Harstad and Tromsdalen Uil recent form
| Harstad |
no matches on record |
| Tromsdalen Uil |
LWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.