NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Os
vs
Lysekloster
2 – 0 Full time
Os
17%
Draw
19%
Lysekloster
64%
Os vs Lysekloster overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Os vs Lysekloster
| Probability | Os | Draw | Lysekloster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.5% | 18.8% | 63.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.5% | 18.8% | 63.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Lysekloster
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 1.33.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
78%
No goals
2%
Os and Lysekloster expected goals
Os
1.33
Lysekloster
2.77
Total expected goals: 4.10
Os and Lysekloster attack and defence ratings
Os
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Lysekloster
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Os vs Lysekloster: result vs prediction
Os 2 – 0 Lysekloster
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Os vs Lysekloster markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lysekloster | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lysekloster win | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Os | 17.5% |
| Draw | 18.8% | |
| Lysekloster | 63.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% |
| No | 30.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lysekloster win | 47.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 33.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.7% |
| 1-3 | 7.6% | |
| 1-1 | 7.3% |
Os vs Lysekloster stats
Os and Lysekloster recent form
| Os |
no matches on record |
| Lysekloster |
LWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.