Rollon vs Træff overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rollon vs Træff
| Probability | Rollon | Draw | Træff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 21.0% | 47.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.6% | 21.0% | 47.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Træff
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.89.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
81%
No goals
2%
Rollon and Træff expected goals
Rollon
1.89
Træff
2.43
Total expected goals: 4.32
Rollon and Træff attack and defence ratings
Rollon
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Træff
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rollon vs Træff: result vs prediction
Rollon 0 – 7 Træff
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rollon vs Træff markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Træff | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rollon | 31.6% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Træff | 47.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.3% |
| No | 22.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Træff win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.5% |
| 2-2 | 7.1% | |
| 1-1 | 7.1% |