NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Skreia
vs
Kongsvinger
2 – 14 Full time
Skreia
14%
Draw
15%
Kongsvinger
71%
Skreia vs Kongsvinger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Skreia vs Kongsvinger
| Probability | Skreia | Draw | Kongsvinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.3% | 15.2% | 70.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 14.3% | 15.2% | 70.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kongsvinger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.33 vs 1.44.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
96%
3+ goals
85%
No goals
1%
Skreia and Kongsvinger expected goals
Skreia
1.44
Kongsvinger
3.33
Total expected goals: 4.77
Skreia and Kongsvinger attack and defence ratings
Skreia
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Kongsvinger
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Skreia vs Kongsvinger: result vs prediction
Skreia 2 – 14 Kongsvinger
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Skreia vs Kongsvinger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skreia | 14.3% |
| Draw | 15.2% | |
| Kongsvinger | 70.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.9% |
| No | 25.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 56.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 26.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.5% |
| 1-2 | 7.0% | |
| 1-4 | 6.0% |
Skreia vs Kongsvinger stats
Skreia and Kongsvinger recent form
| Skreia |
no matches on record |
| Kongsvinger |
WWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.