Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Trysil FK vs Ham-Kam

0 – 5 Full time

Trysil FK 20%
Draw 23%
Ham-Kam 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Trysil FK vs Ham-Kam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trysil FK vs Ham-Kam

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrysil FKDrawHam-Kam
Model20.3%23.0%56.7%
Market———
Final20.3%23.0%56.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Ham-Kam

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.17.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trysil FK ↓ / Ham-Kam → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 5% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Trysil FK and Ham-Kam expected goals

Trysil FK 1.17
Ham-Kam 2.05

Total expected goals: 3.22

Trysil FK and Ham-Kam attack and defence ratings

Trysil FK

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Ham-Kam

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trysil FK vs Ham-Kam: result vs prediction

Trysil FK 0 – 5 Ham-Kam

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Trysil FK vs Ham-Kam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ham-Kam 56.7% 1.76 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.0% 1.64 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.4% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trysil FK20.3%
Draw23.0%
Ham-Kam56.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes61.0%
No39.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.3%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)79.7%
Handicap -1Ham-Kam win34.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss43.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
1-29.8%
0-28.4%

Trysil FK vs Ham-Kam stats

Trysil FK and Ham-Kam recent form

newest first
Trysil FK no matches on record
Ham-Kam LDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Trysil FK vs Ham-Kam head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Trysil FK vs Ham-Kam odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.