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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Våg vs Egersund

2 – 5 Full time

Våg 28%
Draw 22%
Egersund 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Våg vs Egersund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Våg vs Egersund

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVågDrawEgersund
Model28.3%22.0%49.7%
Market———
Final28.3%22.0%49.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Egersund

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.58.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Våg ↓ / Egersund → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 8% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Våg and Egersund expected goals

Våg 1.58
Egersund 2.30

Total expected goals: 3.88

Våg and Egersund attack and defence ratings

Våg

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Egersund

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Våg vs Egersund: result vs prediction

Våg 2 – 5 Egersund

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Våg vs Egersund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Egersund 49.7% 2.01 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.8% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.6% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.0% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Våg28.3%
Draw22.0%
Egersund49.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.8%
Under 2.526.2%
Both teams to scoreYes72.6%
No27.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.3%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)71.7%
Handicap -1Egersund win33.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss47.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.5%
1-28.5%
2-27.0%

Våg vs Egersund stats

Våg and Egersund recent form

newest first
Våg no matches on record
Egersund LWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Våg vs Egersund head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Våg vs Egersund odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.