NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Varhaug
vs
Sandnes ULF
2 – 3 Full time
Varhaug
22%
Draw
22%
Sandnes ULF
56%
Varhaug vs Sandnes ULF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Varhaug vs Sandnes ULF
| Probability | Varhaug | Draw | Sandnes ULF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.9% | 22.2% | 56.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.9% | 22.2% | 56.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sandnes ULF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.32.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
Varhaug and Sandnes ULF expected goals
Varhaug
1.32
Sandnes ULF
2.17
Total expected goals: 3.50
Varhaug and Sandnes ULF attack and defence ratings
Varhaug
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Sandnes ULF
Attack
0.65 -35%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Varhaug vs Sandnes ULF: result vs prediction
Varhaug 2 – 3 Sandnes ULF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Varhaug vs Sandnes ULF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandnes ULF | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Varhaug | 21.9% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Sandnes ULF | 56.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sandnes ULF win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.2% |
Varhaug vs Sandnes ULF stats
Varhaug and Sandnes ULF recent form
| Varhaug |
no matches on record |
| Sandnes ULF |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.