FC Sion
vs
FC Thun
3 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | J. Bamert | ||
| 16′ | Fode Sylla | ||
| 21′ | N. Sow | ||
| 41′ | Fode Sylla | ||
| 41′ | Fode Sylla | ||
| 46′ | O. MambwaT. Strannegard | ||
| 46′ | M. KaitJ. Roth | ||
| 46′ | D. DerbaciN. Maier | ||
| 53′ | D. Rrudhani | ||
| 60′ | F. SaizN. Zoukit | ||
| 61′ | Franck Surdez | ||
| 67′ | W. BoteliR. Nivokazi | ||
| 67′ | D. RrudhaniI. Chouaref | ||
| 67′ | F. SurdezJ. Lukembila | ||
| 71′ | F. Fehr | ||
| 75′ | Justin Roth | ||
| 78′ | Marquinhos CiprianoN. Hefti | ||
| 78′ | F. DursunN. Christoffersson | ||
| 79′ | Marco Bürki | ||
| 90′ | J. Lukembila |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 265 | Accurate passes | 293 |
FC Sion vs FC Thun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Sion vs FC Thun
| Probability | FC Sion | Draw | FC Thun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.1% | 15.1% | 19.7% |
| Market | 55.3% | 22.8% | 21.9% |
| Final | 57.8% | 20.9% | 21.3% |
| Edge | +9.8% | -7.7% | -2.1% |
Why FC Sion
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.51 vs 2.07.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Sion below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Sion and FC Thun expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.58
FC Sion and FC Thun attack and defence ratings
FC Sion
FC Thun
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Sion vs FC Thun: result vs prediction
FC Sion 3 – 2 FC Thun
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Sion vs FC Thun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Sion | 57.8% | 1.73 | +9.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Sion | 57.8% |
| Draw | 20.9% | |
| FC Thun | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 91.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 8.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 85.0% |
| No | 15.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win | 48.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 35.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-2 | 5.8% |
| 3-1 | 5.7% | |
| 4-2 | 5.1% |
FC Sion vs FC Thun stats
FC Sion and FC Thun recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Sion and FC Thun going into this match
FC Sion record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
FC Thun record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Sion vs FC Thun head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Sion | FC Thun | Switzerland Super League | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-15 | FC Thun | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | FC Thun | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | FC Sion | FC Thun | Switzerland Super League | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-22 | FC Thun | FC Sion | Challenge League | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-15 | FC Sion | FC Thun | Challenge League | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-08 | FC Thun | FC Sion | Challenge League | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-25 | FC Sion | FC Thun | Challenge League | 2-3 |
| 2022-12-30 | FC Thun | FC Sion | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-30 | FC Sion | FC Thun | Super League | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Sion vs FC Thun odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.5%, draw 22.9%, away 21.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 4.32 | 4.51 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .