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Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 7

BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern

3 – 3 Full time

14′S. Essende
29′Mio Zimmermann
32′Isaac Schmidt
39′Edimilson Fernandes
46′N. ToggenburgerF. Bongeli
47′A. Ciganiks
49′A. Ciganiks
52′S. Essende
57′I. SchmidtS. Bukinac
57′E. FernandesD. Pech
57′A. VirginiusE. Etoski
62′Samuel Essende
63′Dominik Pech
65′M. Di Giusto
68′C. FassnachtM. K. Sene
73′Bung Hua Freimann
78′Faveurdi Bongeli
81′B. H. FreimannL. Luthi
82′M. ZimmermannL. Silva
82′T. OwusuS. Wyss
85′A. GigovicH. Guirassy
88′M. K. Sene
90′Matteo Di Giusto
90′Bung Meng Freimann
90′D. MikolajewskiL. Villiger

Stadion Wankdorf, BernReferee: Fedayi San, Switzerland

BSC Young Boys 62%
Draw 19%
FC Luzern 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

28 Shots 17
10 Shots on target 7
54 Possession % 46
8 Corners 2
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
4 Saves 7
360 Accurate passes 285

BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern overview

Garuda Lions analysis: BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBSC Young BoysDrawFC Luzern
Model57.8%19.5%22.8%
Market63.9%19.3%16.9%
Final62.3%19.3%18.4%
Edge-6.1%+0.2%+5.9%

Confidence: Low

Why BSC Young Boys

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.64.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

BSC Young Boys ↓ / FC Luzern → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 5% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 4% 7% 6% 4+ 5% 8% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

BSC Young Boys and FC Luzern expected goals

BSC Young Boys 2.60
FC Luzern 1.64

Total expected goals: 4.23

BSC Young Boys and FC Luzern attack and defence ratings

BSC Young Boys

Attack 1.81 +81%
Defence 1.02 +2%

FC Luzern

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern: result vs prediction

BSC Young Boys 3 – 3 FC Luzern

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 BSC Young Boys 62.3% 1.60 -6.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.4% 1.26 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.2% 1.33 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.6% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.2% 2.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2BSC Young Boys62.3%
Draw19.3%
FC Luzern18.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.4%
Under 2.520.6%
Both teams to scoreYes75.2%
No24.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.6%
12 (either side)80.7%
X2 (draw or away)37.7%
Handicap -1BSC Young Boys win38.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss42.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.0%
3-16.9%
1-16.8%

BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern stats

BSC Young Boys and FC Luzern recent form

newest first
BSC Young Boys WDWWDW
FC Luzern WDWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

BSC Young Boys and FC Luzern going into this match

league record before kick-off

BSC Young Boys record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.8 goals per match.

FC Luzern record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7BSC Young Boys wins 2Draws 1FC Luzern wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-04FC LuzernBSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League1-2
2025-12-14BSC Young BoysFC LuzernSwitzerland Super League2-0
2025-09-14FC LuzernBSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League1-2
2025-05-15BSC Young BoysFC LuzernSuper League2-1
2025-04-13FC LuzernBSC Young BoysSuper League5-0
2024-11-23FC LuzernBSC Young BoysSuper League1-1
2024-10-19BSC Young BoysFC LuzernSuper League2-1
2024-04-14BSC Young BoysFC LuzernSuper League4-2
2023-11-11BSC Young BoysFC LuzernSuper League6-1
2023-08-13FC LuzernBSC Young BoysSuper League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.2%, draw 19.2%, away 17.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.50 5.10 4.80
1xBet 1.47 4.85 5.50
Bet365 1.45 4.75 5.75
BetVictor 1.44 4.80 5.25
Betano 1.50 4.60 5.30
Betfair 1.44 5.00 5.50
Dafabet 1.52 5.00 5.20
Marathonbet 1.46 4.85 5.50
Pinnacle 1.49 5.15 5.75
SBO 1.43 4.43 4.52
Unibet 1.52 4.75 4.90
William Hill 1.44 4.60 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.46 ▼ -0.17
X 4.82 ▲ +0.32
2 5.50 ▲ +1.22

12 snapshots recorded, from .