Garuda Lions
Today
Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 6

FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys

2 – 4 Full time

11′M. Reichmuth
23′C. Fassnacht
29′Dominik Pech
29′C. KablanD. Lichtenstein
32′C. Fassnacht
53′Alvyn Sanches
55′C. Fassnacht
62′Kevin Spadanuda
63′P. P. KenyD. Reverson
63′K. SpadanudaD. Ramic
63′D. PechA. Gigovic
63′M. K. SeneA. Virginius
64′U. EmmanuelN. Di Giusto
73′Miguel Reichmuth
73′A. Virginius
77′E. FernandesG. Wuthrich
77′I. SchmidtL. Blum
77′A. SanchesE. Etoski
83′M. ReichmuthM. Bangoura
86′L. Kamberi
90′Stefan Bukinac

Letzigrund, ZurichReferee: Luca Cibelli, Switzerland

FC Zurich 18%
Draw 19%
BSC Young Boys 63%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 7
47 Possession % 53
3 Corners 3
8 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 5
2 Saves 5
329 Accurate passes 396

FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC ZurichDrawBSC Young Boys
Model15.0%16.1%68.9%
Market19.0%20.2%60.8%
Final18.0%19.2%62.8%
Edge-4.0%-4.1%+8.1%

Confidence: Low

Why BSC Young Boys

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 1.45.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices BSC Young Boys below the model: +8.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Zurich ↓ / BSC Young Boys → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 8% 8% 12% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 82%
No goals 2%

FC Zurich and BSC Young Boys expected goals

FC Zurich 1.45
BSC Young Boys 3.03

Total expected goals: 4.48

FC Zurich and BSC Young Boys attack and defence ratings

FC Zurich

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.12 +12%

BSC Young Boys

Attack 1.74 +74%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys: result vs prediction

FC Zurich 2 – 4 BSC Young Boys

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 BSC Young Boys 62.8% 1.59 +8.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.4% 1.21 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.3% 1.36 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.0% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 BSC Young Boys win 50.3% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Zurich18.0%
Draw19.2%
BSC Young Boys62.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.4%
Under 2.517.6%
Both teams to scoreYes73.3%
No26.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)37.2%
12 (either side)80.8%
X2 (draw or away)82.0%
Handicap -1BSC Young Boys win50.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss31.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-37.6%
1-27.6%
1-45.8%

FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys stats

FC Zurich and BSC Young Boys recent form

newest first
FC Zurich WLWLWL
BSC Young Boys DWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Zurich and BSC Young Boys going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Zurich record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

BSC Young Boys record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.8 goals per match.

FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2FC Zurich wins 2Draws 6BSC Young Boys wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01BSC Young BoysFC ZurichSwitzerland Super League3-0
2026-02-01BSC Young BoysFC ZurichSwitzerland Super League3-0
2025-10-26FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League2-3
2025-04-21BSC Young BoysFC ZurichSuper League2-1
2025-02-27FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSchweizer Cup2-3
2024-11-02FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSuper League0-0
2024-08-04BSC Young BoysFC ZurichSuper League2-2
2024-05-05FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSuper League0-2
2024-03-03FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSuper League1-0
2023-11-25FC ZurichBSC Young BoysSuper League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 20.2%, away 60.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.00 4.60 1.53
1xBet 4.86 4.70 1.54
Bet365 5.00 4.50 1.53
BetVictor 4.80 4.50 1.50
Betano 4.90 4.55 1.55
Betfair 5.00 4.60 1.50
Dafabet 5.00 4.80 1.55
Marathonbet 4.95 4.70 1.52
Pinnacle 5.02 4.96 1.57
SBO 4.66 4.32 1.52
Superbet 4.90 4.60 1.53
Unibet 4.60 4.60 1.57
William Hill 4.60 4.40 1.55

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.90 ▲ +0.28
X 4.60 ▲ +0.05
2 1.53 ▼ -0.04

5 snapshots recorded, from .