Lausanne
vs
FC Zurich
2 – 3 Full time
Lausanne vs FC Zurich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lausanne vs FC Zurich
| Probability | Lausanne | Draw | FC Zurich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.0% | 23.9% | 18.1% |
| Market | 52.1% | 24.6% | 23.3% |
| Final | 53.6% | 24.4% | 22.0% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -0.7% | -5.2% |
Why Lausanne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.00.
- The market prices Lausanne below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lausanne and FC Zurich expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Lausanne and FC Zurich attack and defence ratings
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lausanne vs FC Zurich: result vs prediction
Lausanne 2 – 3 FC Zurich
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lausanne vs FC Zurich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lausanne | 53.6% | 1.87 | +5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lausanne | 53.6% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| FC Zurich | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lausanne win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 42.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
Lausanne vs FC Zurich stats
Lausanne and FC Zurich recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lausanne and FC Zurich going into this match
Lausanne record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Zurich record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Lausanne vs FC Zurich head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Lausanne | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-04 | FC Zurich | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-01 | FC Zurich | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Lausanne | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-02 | FC Zurich | Lausanne | Super League | 2-2 |
| 2024-12-08 | Lausanne | FC Zurich | Super League | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-11 | FC Zurich | Lausanne | Super League | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-13 | Lausanne | FC Zurich | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-31 | FC Zurich | Lausanne | Super League | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-23 | Lausanne | FC Zurich | Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lausanne vs FC Zurich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 24.6%, away 23.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.68 | 4.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.80 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.68 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.64 | 4.45 |
| SBO | 1.79 | 3.34 | 3.44 |
| Superbet | 1.82 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.85 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .