FC Luzern
vs
Lausanne
1 – 0 Full time
FC Luzern vs Lausanne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Luzern vs Lausanne
| Probability | FC Luzern | Draw | Lausanne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.4% | 22.9% | 51.8% |
| Market | 46.7% | 24.6% | 28.7% |
| Final | 41.4% | 24.2% | 34.5% |
| Edge | -21.3% | -1.8% | +23.1% |
Why FC Luzern
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.51.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Luzern and Lausanne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
FC Luzern and Lausanne attack and defence ratings
FC Luzern
Lausanne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Luzern vs Lausanne: result vs prediction
FC Luzern 1 – 0 Lausanne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Luzern vs Lausanne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Luzern | 41.4% | 2.42 | -21.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Luzern | 41.4% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Lausanne | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Luzern win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
FC Luzern vs Lausanne stats
FC Luzern and Lausanne recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Luzern and Lausanne going into this match
FC Luzern record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lausanne record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Luzern vs Lausanne head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Lausanne | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-22 | FC Luzern | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Lausanne | FC Luzern | Switzerland Super League | 0-4 |
| 2025-10-19 | FC Luzern | Lausanne | Switzerland Super League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Luzern vs Lausanne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 24.6%, away 28.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 3.85 | 3.40 |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.16 |
| 888Sport | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.80 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 3.85 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.80 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 4.03 | 3.23 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.42 | 3.02 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.75 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.00 |