FC Zurich
vs
FC Basel 1893
1 – 2 Full time
FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893
| Probability | FC Zurich | Draw | FC Basel 1893 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.0% | 23.1% | 52.9% |
| Market | 31.3% | 26.0% | 42.7% |
| Final | 29.4% | 25.3% | 45.3% |
| Edge | -7.3% | -2.9% | +10.2% |
Why FC Basel 1893
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Basel 1893 below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893 attack and defence ratings
FC Zurich
FC Basel 1893
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893: result vs prediction
FC Zurich 1 – 2 FC Basel 1893
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Basel 1893 | 45.3% | 2.21 | +10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Zurich | 29.4% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| FC Basel 1893 | 45.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Basel 1893 win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 49.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.0% |
FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 stats
FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893 recent form
| FC Zurich |
WLWLLL |
| FC Basel 1893 |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893 going into this match
FC Zurich record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
FC Basel 1893 record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | FC Basel 1893 | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-25 | FC Zurich | FC Basel 1893 | Switzerland Super League | 3-4 |
| 2025-10-29 | FC Basel 1893 | FC Zurich | Switzerland Super League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.2%, draw 25.9%, away 42.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.99 | 3.62 | 2.19 |
| 888Sport | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.70 | 2.23 |
| Marathonbet | 2.98 | 3.62 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05 | 3.81 | 2.25 |
| SBO | 2.76 | 3.39 | 2.21 |
| Superbet | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.70 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .