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Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 5

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893

3 – 3 Full time

Stadion Wankdorf, BernReferee: Sandro Schärer, Switzerland

BSC Young Boys 61%
Draw 20%
FC Basel 1893 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBSC Young BoysDrawFC Basel 1893
Model69.5%15.2%15.2%
Market57.5%21.5%20.9%
Final60.5%20.0%19.5%
Edge+12.0%-6.3%-5.7%

Confidence: Low

Why BSC Young Boys

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.24 vs 1.59.
  • The market prices BSC Young Boys below the model: +12.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

BSC Young Boys ↓ / FC Basel 1893 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 7% 3 7% 4+ 8% 13% 10%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 86%
No goals 1%

BSC Young Boys and FC Basel 1893 expected goals

BSC Young Boys 3.24
FC Basel 1893 1.59

Total expected goals: 4.83

BSC Young Boys and FC Basel 1893 attack and defence ratings

BSC Young Boys

Attack 1.75 +75%
Defence 0.91 -9%

FC Basel 1893

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893: result vs prediction

BSC Young Boys 3 – 3 FC Basel 1893

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 BSC Young Boys 60.5% 1.65 +12.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 86.0% 1.16 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.9% 1.30 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.5% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 BSC Young Boys win 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2BSC Young Boys60.5%
Draw20.0%
FC Basel 189319.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.586.0%
Under 2.514.0%
Both teams to scoreYes76.9%
No23.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.5%
12 (either side)80.0%
X2 (draw or away)39.5%
Handicap -1BSC Young Boys win51.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss30.6%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.2%
2-16.7%
4-15.8%

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 stats

BSC Young Boys and FC Basel 1893 recent form

newest first
BSC Young Boys WWDWWD
FC Basel 1893 WWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

BSC Young Boys and FC Basel 1893 going into this match

league record before kick-off

BSC Young Boys record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.8 goals per match.

FC Basel 1893 record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1BSC Young Boys wins 2Draws 1FC Basel 1893 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10BSC Young BoysFC Basel 1893Switzerland Super League3-0
2026-04-04FC Basel 1893BSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League3-3
2025-11-02BSC Young BoysFC Basel 1893Switzerland Super League0-0
2025-08-06FC Basel 1893BSC Young BoysSwitzerland Super League4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.5%, draw 21.5%, away 20.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.62 4.33 4.50
1xBet 1.62 4.33 4.58
Bet365 1.62 4.33 4.20
BetVictor 1.57 4.40 4.33
Betano 1.62 4.30 4.45
Betfair 1.60 4.50 4.50
Dafabet 1.65 4.60 4.50
Marathonbet 1.60 4.33 4.65
Pinnacle 1.62 4.31 4.82
SBO 1.56 4.03 3.88
Superbet 1.63 4.40 4.30
Unibet 1.61 4.40 4.40
William Hill 1.62 4.40 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 —
X 4.33 —
2 4.45 ▼ -0.05

7 snapshots recorded, from .