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Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Servette FC vs FC Luzern

1 – 1 Full time

Stade de Genève, GenevaReferee: Johannes von Mandach, Switzerland

Servette FC 53%
Draw 23%
FC Luzern 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Servette FC vs FC Luzern overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Servette FC vs FC Luzern

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityServette FCDrawFC Luzern
Model59.7%21.9%18.4%
Market50.3%23.5%26.2%
Final52.6%23.1%24.3%
Edge+9.4%-1.6%-7.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Servette FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.15.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Servette FC below the model: +9.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Servette FC ↓ / FC Luzern → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 5% 2 9% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Servette FC and FC Luzern expected goals

Servette FC 2.17
FC Luzern 1.15

Total expected goals: 3.31

Servette FC and FC Luzern attack and defence ratings

Servette FC

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.70 -30%

FC Luzern

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Servette FC vs FC Luzern: result vs prediction

Servette FC 1 – 1 FC Luzern

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

Servette FC vs FC Luzern markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Servette FC 52.6% 1.90 +9.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.4% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Servette FC52.6%
Draw23.1%
FC Luzern24.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.4%
Under 2.535.6%
Both teams to scoreYes61.4%
No38.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.7%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)47.4%
Handicap -1Servette FC win37.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss40.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
2-19.8%
2-08.5%

Servette FC vs FC Luzern stats

Servette FC and FC Luzern recent form

newest first
Servette FC WWLLWW
FC Luzern WWDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Servette FC and FC Luzern going into this match

league record before kick-off

Servette FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

FC Luzern record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Servette FC vs FC Luzern head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Servette FC wins 5Draws 0FC Luzern wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09FC LuzernServette FCSwitzerland Super League3-3
2026-04-06Servette FCFC LuzernSwitzerland Super League3-0
2025-11-22FC LuzernServette FCSwitzerland Super League2-2
2025-08-31Servette FCFC LuzernSwitzerland Super League2-2
2025-05-18FC LuzernServette FCSuper League3-4
2025-04-21Servette FCFC LuzernSuper League2-1
2024-10-31Servette FCFC LuzernSuper League2-2
2024-07-21FC LuzernServette FCSuper League1-2
2024-03-17FC LuzernServette FCSuper League2-2
2023-10-29Servette FCFC LuzernSuper League4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Servette FC vs FC Luzern odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 23.5%, away 26.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.85 3.95 3.65
1xBet 1.84 3.95 3.68
Bet365 1.85 3.90 3.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.90 3.50
Betano 1.85 3.95 3.60
Betfair 1.85 4.00 3.50
Dafabet 1.91 4.00 3.65
Marathonbet 1.82 3.95 3.70
Pinnacle 1.83 4.08 3.80
SBO 1.88 3.43 3.07
Superbet 1.90 3.85 3.55
Unibet 1.90 3.90 3.50
William Hill 1.85 3.75 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.03
X 3.95 ▼ -0.01
2 3.55 ▲ +0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from .