Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 6

FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz

2 – 1 Full time

3′Bung Hua Freimann
38′Denis Simani
38′Andrejs Cigaņiks
46′Julian Stark
48′Marcel Monsberger
49′Rúben Dantas Fernandes
57′Bongeli Faveurdi BeengaNando Toggenburger
57′Tyron OwusuSandro Wyss
59′Rúben Dantas Fernandes
62′Milos CocicDaniel Kasper
72′Mio ZimmermannLucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
73′Marcel MonsbergerDejan Djokic
73′Dominik SchwizerMalik Sawadogo
82′Rúben Dantas FernandesLoïc Lüthi
82′Daniel MikołajewskiSascha Meyer
83′Bung Meng Freimann
88′Dejan Djokic
90′Luca MackMattia walker
90′Nando Toggenburger
90′Liridon Berisha
90′Nando Toggenburger

Thermoplan Arena, LuzernReferee: Anojen Kanagasingam, Switzerland

FC Luzern 53%
Draw 22%
FC Vaduz 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
43 Possession % 57
3 Corners 4
14 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1
3 Saves 6
261 Accurate passes 380

FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC LuzernDrawFC Vaduz
Model46.6%22.7%30.7%
Market55.4%22.3%22.3%
Final53.2%22.4%24.4%
Edge-8.8%+0.4%+8.4%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Luzern

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.68.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Luzern ↓ / FC Vaduz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

FC Luzern and FC Vaduz expected goals

FC Luzern 2.08
FC Vaduz 1.68

Total expected goals: 3.75

FC Luzern and FC Vaduz attack and defence ratings

FC Luzern

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.82 -18%

FC Vaduz

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz: result vs prediction

FC Luzern 2 – 1 FC Vaduz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Luzern 53.2% 1.88 -8.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.3% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.9% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.6% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Luzern53.2%
Draw22.4%
FC Vaduz24.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.3%
Under 2.527.7%
Both teams to scoreYes71.9%
No28.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.6%
12 (either side)77.6%
X2 (draw or away)46.8%
Handicap -1FC Luzern win27.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.0%
2-18.5%
2-27.1%

FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz stats

FC Luzern and FC Vaduz recent form

newest first
FC Luzern DWWDLL
FC Vaduz WLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Luzern and FC Vaduz going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Luzern record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Vaduz record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5FC Luzern wins 3Draws 2FC Vaduz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-09-06FC VaduzFC LuzernFriendlies Clubs1-0
2022-07-02FC LuzernFC VaduzFriendlies Clubs4-1
2021-05-01FC VaduzFC LuzernSuper League1-2
2021-02-24FC VaduzFC LuzernSuper League1-1
2021-02-14FC LuzernFC VaduzSuper League4-0
2020-11-21FC LuzernFC VaduzSuper League1-1
2020-06-13FC VaduzFC LuzernFriendlies Clubs3-0
2017-05-28FC LuzernFC VaduzSuper League2-2
2017-04-09FC VaduzFC LuzernSuper League0-2
2016-12-03FC LuzernFC VaduzSuper League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.4%, draw 22.3%, away 22.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.68 4.33 4.20
1xBet 1.68 4.15 4.35
Bet365 1.67 4.20 4.33
BetVictor 1.65 4.33 3.90
Betano 1.70 4.20 4.15
Betfair 1.67 4.33 4.10
Dafabet 1.71 4.30 4.30
Marathonbet 1.69 4.10 4.25
Pinnacle 1.75 4.24 4.39
SBO 1.69 4.00 3.77
Superbet 1.71 4.20 4.00
Unibet 1.62 4.35 4.50
William Hill 1.70 3.90 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 ▲ +0.11
X 4.20 ▼ -0.13
2 4.20 ▼ -0.55

4 snapshots recorded, from .