BSC Young Boys
vs
FC Vaduz
4 – 2 Full time
BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz
| Probability | BSC Young Boys | Draw | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% |
| Market | 73.6% | 15.7% | 10.7% |
| Final | 72.3% | 15.7% | 11.9% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +0.1% | +4.8% |
Why BSC Young Boys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.12 vs 1.53.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BSC Young Boys and FC Vaduz expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.65
BSC Young Boys and FC Vaduz attack and defence ratings
BSC Young Boys
FC Vaduz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz: result vs prediction
BSC Young Boys 4 – 2 FC Vaduz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSC Young Boys | 72.3% | 1.38 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | BSC Young Boys win | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BSC Young Boys | 72.3% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| FC Vaduz | 11.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.4% |
| No | 24.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | BSC Young Boys win | 50.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 31.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.4% |
| 2-1 | 7.1% | |
| 4-1 | 5.8% |
BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz stats
BSC Young Boys and FC Vaduz recent form
| BSC Young Boys |
WDWWDW |
| FC Vaduz |
DLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BSC Young Boys and FC Vaduz going into this match
BSC Young Boys record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.8 goals per match.
FC Vaduz record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.4%, draw 15.9%, away 10.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 5.75 | 9.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 5.95 | 8.85 |
| 888Sport | 1.29 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 5.75 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 6.40 | 8.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 5.95 | 9.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 6.33 | 9.47 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 5.80 | 7.05 |
| Superbet | 1.28 | 6.00 | 7.90 |
| Unibet | 1.27 | 5.80 | 8.00 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .