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Switzerland Super League · Full time ·Matchday 4

FC Thun vs Servette FC

2 – 4 Full time

4′Kingstone Mutandwa
29′Mathis Lambourde
31′Bradley Mazikou
36′fabio saiz
38′fabio saiz
45′Nassim ZoukitMattias Käit
47′Jan Bamert
54′fabio saiz
64′Noah ChristofferssonFurkan Dursun
64′Tom StrannegardOlivier Mambwa
65′Teo Allix
66′Kingstone MutandwaDavid Datro Fofana
66′Mathis LambourdeJesper Karlsson
69′David Douline
72′fabio saizNico Maier
74′Jesper Karlsson
77′Nicolas BürgyPatrik Kristal
84′Marco Burch
86′David Datro Fofana
86′Jarell SimoIvan Izquierdo
90′Lilian NjohSylvain Claude Djoho Filho

Stockhorn Arena, ThunReferee: J. von Mandach

FC Thun 37%
Draw 25%
Servette FC 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
60 Possession % 40
7 Corners 5
16 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
370 Accurate passes 203

FC Thun vs Servette FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Thun vs Servette FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC ThunDrawServette FC
Model22.2%23.1%54.7%
Market41.4%25.9%32.8%
Final36.6%25.2%38.3%
Edge-19.1%-2.8%+21.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Servette FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.27.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Servette FC below the model: +21.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Thun ↓ / Servette FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 5% 1 10% 10% 7% 5% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

FC Thun and Servette FC expected goals

FC Thun 1.27
Servette FC 2.06

Total expected goals: 3.32

FC Thun and Servette FC attack and defence ratings

FC Thun

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Servette FC

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Thun vs Servette FC: result vs prediction

FC Thun 2 – 4 Servette FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Switzerland Super League

Before and after this match

FC Thun vs Servette FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Servette FC 38.3% 2.61 +21.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.5% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.5% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.3% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Thun36.6%
Draw25.2%
Servette FC38.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.5%
Under 2.535.5%
Both teams to scoreYes63.5%
No36.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.7%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Servette FC win33.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss45.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
1-29.7%
0-27.6%

FC Thun vs Servette FC stats

FC Thun and Servette FC recent form

newest first
FC Thun LLDWDL
Servette FC WLLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Thun and Servette FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Thun record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Servette FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

FC Thun vs Servette FC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5FC Thun wins 0Draws 3Servette FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-08Servette FCFC ThunSwitzerland Super League1-3
2025-11-08Servette FCFC ThunSwitzerland Super League0-1
2025-10-18FC ThunServette FCSwitzerland Super League3-1
2021-10-27FC ThunServette FCSchweizer Cup4-1
2020-07-22FC ThunServette FCSuper League5-1
2020-02-02Servette FCFC ThunSuper League2-0
2019-12-14Servette FCFC ThunSuper League2-1
2019-08-25FC ThunServette FCSuper League0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Thun vs Servette FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 25.8%, away 33.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.70 3.65 2.35
1xBet 2.27 3.60 2.85
888Sport 2.75 3.50 2.25
Bet365 2.25 3.60 3.00
BetVictor 2.20 3.60 2.75
Betano 2.20 3.65 2.92
Betfair 2.25 3.60 2.80
Dafabet 2.80 3.70 2.37
Marathonbet 2.25 3.60 2.84
Pinnacle 2.31 3.79 2.97
SBO 2.51 3.39 2.19
Unibet 2.80 3.75 2.28
William Hill 2.25 3.40 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▼ -0.51
X 3.60 ▼ -0.02
2 2.84 ▲ +0.53

10 snapshots recorded, from .