Birmingham Legion
vs
Brooklyn
4 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | P. Vassell | ||
| 19′ | V. Latinovich | ||
| 41′ | T. PasherS. Ngoma | ||
| 46′ | S. StojanovicJ. Obregon | ||
| 48′ | S. Ngoma | ||
| 59′ | S. NishikawaR. McLaughlin | ||
| 59′ | A. KanteP. Mangione | ||
| 67′ | S. TregarthenR. Damus | ||
| 67′ | S. ShashouaS. McIllhatton | ||
| 77′ | T. McNamaraP. Da Silva | ||
| 79′ | V. LatinovichR. Romeo | ||
| 82′ | P. VassellS. Saucedo | ||
| 84′ | S. Saucedo | ||
| 90′ | R. Damus |
Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn
| Probability | Birmingham Legion | Draw | Brooklyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.9% | 20.4% | 24.7% |
| Market | 54.7% | 23.1% | 22.2% |
| Final | 54.8% | 22.4% | 22.8% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -2.8% | +2.5% |
Why Birmingham Legion
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 1.65.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Birmingham Legion and Brooklyn expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.10
Birmingham Legion and Brooklyn attack and defence ratings
Birmingham Legion
Brooklyn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn: result vs prediction
Birmingham Legion 4 – 0 Brooklyn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birmingham Legion | 54.8% | 1.83 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birmingham Legion | 54.8% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Brooklyn | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.5% |
| No | 25.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Birmingham Legion win | 35.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.2% |
| 1-1 | 7.4% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn stats
Birmingham Legion and Brooklyn recent form
| Birmingham Legion |
LDDDLL |
| Brooklyn |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Birmingham Legion and Brooklyn going into this match
Birmingham Legion record
- They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brooklyn record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 23.1%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.85 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.95 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.32 | 4.26 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .