Brooklyn
vs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 – 1 Full time
Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
| Probability | Brooklyn | Draw | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.2% | 29.6% | 49.2% |
| Market | 33.2% | 28.5% | 38.3% |
| Final | 30.2% | 28.8% | 41.0% |
| Edge | -12.0% | +1.1% | +10.8% |
Why Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Pittsburgh Riverhounds below the model: +10.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brooklyn and Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Brooklyn and Pittsburgh Riverhounds attack and defence ratings
Brooklyn
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: result vs prediction
Brooklyn 0 – 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 41.0% | 2.44 | +10.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brooklyn | 30.2% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 41.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.6% |
| No | 55.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds stats
Brooklyn and Pittsburgh Riverhounds recent form
| Brooklyn |
LLLDWL |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
WDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brooklyn and Pittsburgh Riverhounds going into this match
Brooklyn record
- They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Brooklyn | USL Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 28.5%, away 38.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| 1xBet | 2.72 | 3.14 | 2.36 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 3.10 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 3.14 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.89 | 3.33 | 2.48 |
| Superbet | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.42 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .