El Paso Locomotive
vs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 – 1 Full time
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
| Probability | El Paso Locomotive | Draw | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 38.4% | 27.9% |
| Market | 42.6% | 29.5% | 27.9% |
| Final | 40.3% | 31.7% | 27.9% |
| Edge | -8.9% | +8.9% | -0.0% |
Why El Paso Locomotive
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
El Paso Locomotive and Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.56
El Paso Locomotive and Pittsburgh Riverhounds attack and defence ratings
El Paso Locomotive
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: result vs prediction
El Paso Locomotive 2 – 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Paso Locomotive | 40.3% | 2.48 | -8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Paso Locomotive | 40.3% |
| Draw | 31.7% | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.4% |
| No | 69.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | El Paso Locomotive win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 66.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.4% |
| 1-0 | 16.2% | |
| 0-1 | 14.1% |
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds stats
El Paso Locomotive and Pittsburgh Riverhounds recent form
| El Paso Locomotive |
WWWWLW |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
WWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
El Paso Locomotive and Pittsburgh Riverhounds going into this match
El Paso Locomotive record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Pittsburgh Riverhounds record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-27 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-23 | El Paso Locomotive | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-14 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 29.5%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.02 | 3.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.13 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.15 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.02 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.54 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 2.95 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .