USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive

0 – 1 Full time

Weidner FieldReferee: I. Bych

Colorado Springs 48%
Draw 26%
El Paso Locomotive 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColorado SpringsDrawEl Paso Locomotive
Model36.0%29.4%34.6%
Market52.2%25.0%22.8%
Final48.1%26.1%25.8%
Edge-16.2%+4.4%+11.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colorado Sprin ↓ / El Paso Locomo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Colorado Springs and El Paso Locomotive expected goals

Colorado Springs 1.28
El Paso Locomotive 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.53

Colorado Springs and El Paso Locomotive attack and defence ratings

Colorado Springs

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.12 +12%

El Paso Locomotive

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive: result vs prediction

Colorado Springs 0 – 1 El Paso Locomotive

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colorado Springs 48.1% 2.08 -16.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.7% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.7% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.9% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colorado Springs48.1%
Draw26.1%
El Paso Locomotive25.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.3%
Under 2.553.7%
Both teams to scoreYes52.7%
No47.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.2%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)51.9%
Handicap -1Colorado Springs win16.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss63.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-09.3%
1-08.9%

Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive stats

Colorado Springs and El Paso Locomotive recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colorado Springs and El Paso Locomotive going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colorado Springs record

  • They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

El Paso Locomotive record

  • They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Colorado Springs wins 3Draws 0El Paso Locomotive wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08El Paso LocomotiveColorado SpringsUSL Championship2-2
2025-04-20Colorado SpringsEl Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship1-1
2025-03-09El Paso LocomotiveColorado SpringsUSL Championship2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.2%, draw 25.0%, away 22.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.67 3.65 4.33
1xBet 1.75 3.60 4.00
Bet365 1.73 3.70 4.00
BetVictor 1.75 3.70 4.10
Betano 1.78 3.55 3.90
Betfair 1.70 3.60 4.00
Dafabet 1.79 3.75 4.10
Marathonbet 1.73 3.60 3.94
Pinnacle 1.81 3.81 4.22
Superbet 1.78 3.65 3.90
Unibet 1.66 3.70 4.10
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 —
X 3.65 —
2 4.00 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .