Lexington
vs
Colorado Springs
0 – 1 Full time
Lexington vs Colorado Springs overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lexington vs Colorado Springs
| Probability | Lexington | Draw | Colorado Springs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.2% | 24.8% | 18.0% |
| Market | 42.9% | 26.3% | 30.8% |
| Final | 46.5% | 25.9% | 27.6% |
| Edge | +14.3% | -1.5% | -12.8% |
Why Lexington
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lexington below the model: +14.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lexington and Colorado Springs expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Lexington and Colorado Springs attack and defence ratings
Lexington
Colorado Springs
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lexington vs Colorado Springs: result vs prediction
Lexington 0 – 1 Colorado Springs
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Lexington vs Colorado Springs markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lexington | 46.5% | 2.15 | +14.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lexington | 46.5% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Colorado Springs | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lexington win | 33.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.5% | |
| 1-0 | 10.3% |
Lexington vs Colorado Springs stats
Lexington and Colorado Springs recent form
| Lexington |
LWLWWD |
| Colorado Springs |
LLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lexington and Colorado Springs going into this match
Lexington record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colorado Springs record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
Lexington vs Colorado Springs head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Colorado Springs | Lexington | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Colorado Springs | Lexington | USL Championship | 3-1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Lexington | Colorado Springs | USL Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lexington vs Colorado Springs odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 26.3%, away 30.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.46 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.46 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.68 | 2.96 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 2.07 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .