USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs

4 – 5 Full time

8′J. Murphy
17′K. Bennett
24′S. MazzaferroN. Adnan
38′E. Davis III
43′P. Niyongabire
50′J. Fjeldberg
52′E. Davis III
60′E. Davis III
65′A. PerezF. Daroma
65′D. WilliamsS. Echevarria
65′J. FjeldbergS. Masereka
72′A. WattsG. Lomtadze
77′J. De CoteauG. Metusala
77′B. JamisonE. Amoh
80′B. Akinyode
84′B. Creek
87′M. Mahoney
89′A. AboukouraS. Young
89′R. AmanC. Torres
90′J. Murphy
90′J. Murphy
90′E. Amoh
90′K. Bennett

Segra Field

Loudoun United 31%
Draw 28%
Colorado Springs 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLoudoun UnitedDrawColorado Springs
Model31.7%32.2%36.1%
Market31.1%26.4%42.5%
Final31.3%27.9%40.9%
Edge+0.6%+5.8%-6.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Loudoun United ↓ / Colorado Sprin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 12% 1 11% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Loudoun United and Colorado Springs expected goals

Loudoun United 1.03
Colorado Springs 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.15

Loudoun United and Colorado Springs attack and defence ratings

Loudoun United

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Colorado Springs

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs: result vs prediction

Loudoun United 4 – 5 Colorado Springs

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colorado Springs 40.9% 2.45 -6.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.7% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 55.4% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.9% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Loudoun United31.3%
Draw27.9%
Colorado Springs40.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.3%
Under 2.563.7%
Both teams to scoreYes44.6%
No55.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.1%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)68.7%
Handicap -1Colorado Springs win15.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss63.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.0%
0-111.7%

Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs stats

Loudoun United and Colorado Springs recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Loudoun United and Colorado Springs going into this match

league record before kick-off

Loudoun United record

  • They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Colorado Springs record

  • They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Loudoun United wins 1Draws 2Colorado Springs wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-09-29Colorado SpringsLoudoun UnitedUSL Championship1-1
2023-04-01Loudoun UnitedColorado SpringsUSL Championship0-1
2021-07-31Loudoun UnitedColorado SpringsUSL Championship1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Loudoun United vs Colorado Springs odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 26.7%, away 42.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.85 3.40 2.20
1xBet 2.96 3.40 2.14
Bet365 2.80 3.50 2.10
BetVictor 3.00 3.50 2.15
Betano 2.85 3.40 2.18
Betfair 2.88 3.40 2.15
Dafabet 3.00 3.45 2.22
Marathonbet 2.90 3.40 2.12
Pinnacle 3.04 3.70 2.22
Superbet 2.95 3.35 2.20
Unibet 3.00 3.25 2.08
William Hill 2.90 3.30 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.93 ▼ -0.01
X 3.45 ▲ +0.10
2 2.15 ▼ -0.04

8 snapshots recorded, from .