El Paso Locomotive
vs
Loudoun United
4 – 1 Full time
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United
| Probability | El Paso Locomotive | Draw | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.4% | 32.8% | 15.8% |
| Market | 54.0% | 24.2% | 21.8% |
| Final | 53.3% | 26.3% | 20.3% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +8.6% | -6.0% |
Why El Paso Locomotive
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
El Paso Locomotive and Loudoun United expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.78
El Paso Locomotive and Loudoun United attack and defence ratings
El Paso Locomotive
Loudoun United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United: result vs prediction
El Paso Locomotive 4 – 1 Loudoun United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Paso Locomotive | 53.3% | 1.88 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Paso Locomotive | 53.3% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Loudoun United | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.4% |
| No | 68.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | El Paso Locomotive win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.3% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.4% |
| 0-0 | 18.0% | |
| 1-1 | 12.7% |
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United stats
El Paso Locomotive and Loudoun United recent form
| El Paso Locomotive |
WWWWWL |
| Loudoun United |
DDLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
El Paso Locomotive and Loudoun United going into this match
El Paso Locomotive record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Loudoun United record
- They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-07 | El Paso Locomotive | Loudoun United | USL Championship | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 24.2%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.75 | 4.15 |
| Unibet | 1.74 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .