Loudoun United
vs
New Mexico United
0 – 0 Full time
Loudoun United vs New Mexico United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Loudoun United vs New Mexico United
| Probability | Loudoun United | Draw | New Mexico United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.1% | 30.0% | 47.8% |
| Market | 41.1% | 26.7% | 32.2% |
| Final | 36.3% | 27.6% | 36.1% |
| Edge | -18.9% | +3.3% | +15.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Loudoun United and New Mexico United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Loudoun United and New Mexico United attack and defence ratings
Loudoun United
New Mexico United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Loudoun United vs New Mexico United: result vs prediction
Loudoun United 0 – 0 New Mexico United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Loudoun United vs New Mexico United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Loudoun United | 36.3% | 2.75 | -18.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Loudoun United | 36.3% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| New Mexico United | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.7% |
| No | 55.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Loudoun United win | 7.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.5% | |
| Loss | 77.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
Loudoun United vs New Mexico United stats
Loudoun United and New Mexico United recent form
| Loudoun United |
DLWWDD |
| New Mexico United |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Loudoun United and New Mexico United going into this match
Loudoun United record
- They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New Mexico United record
- They have won 12 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Loudoun United vs New Mexico United head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Loudoun United vs New Mexico United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 26.7%, away 32.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.32 | 2.84 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.35 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.32 | 2.79 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 3.56 | 2.94 |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 3.35 | 2.87 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .