Louisville City
vs
El Paso Locomotive
1 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | B. Dayes | ||
| 24′ | A. Mendez | ||
| 45′ | R. Rubin | ||
| 46′ | M. AkaleE. Davila | ||
| 46′ | J. MorrisE. Perez | ||
| 46′ | J. WilsonT. Showunmi | ||
| 58′ | S. TotschC. Duke | ||
| 65′ | A. MendezR. Avila | ||
| 65′ | A. MorenoZ. Jones | ||
| 74′ | R. CoronadoD. Gomez | ||
| 77′ | E. Perez | ||
| 78′ | K. LambertQ. Huerman | ||
| 82′ | E. CalvilloC. Sainte | ||
| 82′ | N. DollenmayerG. Diaz | ||
| 90′ | A. McFadden | ||
| 90′ | R. Rubin |
Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive
| Probability | Louisville City | Draw | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.3% | 27.5% | 47.2% |
| Market | 57.4% | 23.0% | 19.6% |
| Final | 49.3% | 24.1% | 26.5% |
| Edge | -32.1% | +4.5% | +27.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Louisville City and El Paso Locomotive expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Louisville City and El Paso Locomotive attack and defence ratings
Louisville City
El Paso Locomotive
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive: result vs prediction
Louisville City 1 – 2 El Paso Locomotive
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Louisville City | 49.3% | 2.03 | -32.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Louisville City | 49.3% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| El Paso Locomotive | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Louisville City win | 10.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.1% | |
| Loss | 74.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive stats
Louisville City and El Paso Locomotive recent form
| Louisville City |
DDLWDL |
| El Paso Locomotive |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Louisville City and El Paso Locomotive going into this match
Louisville City record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
El Paso Locomotive record
- They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-16 | El Paso Locomotive | Louisville City | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2023-03-25 | Louisville City | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 0-3 |
| 2022-07-31 | El Paso Locomotive | Louisville City | USL Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.5%, draw 23.0%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.96 | 4.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.95 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.96 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.31 | 4.99 |
| Unibet | 1.53 | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .