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USL Championship · Full time ·Group Stage

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive

1 – 3 Full time

8′Tony Alfaro
11′R. Rubin
23′N. Dollenmayer
27′J. Torres
41′R. Czichos
48′J. Moursou
51′E. Calvillo
63′R. Coronado
66′D. GomezI. Sacko
66′D. RiveraK. Arase
67′N. Cardona
72′A. MorenoR. Avila
72′A. MendezB. Farkarlun
72′R. CoronadoD. Gomez
76′D. FloresT. Schmitt
76′D. BadjiG. Studenhofft
78′L. Biasi
80′L. Biasi
80′L. Biasi
83′R. CzichosA. Pelayo
86′C. SainteK. Hoban
90′E. CalvilloR. Ruiz
90′R. Rubin

Wild Horse Pass StadiumReferee: S. Berna Rico

Phoenix Rising 39%
Draw 27%
El Paso Locomotive 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPhoenix RisingDrawEl Paso Locomotive
Model28.3%28.7%43.0%
Market42.1%26.7%31.3%
Final38.6%27.2%34.2%
Edge-13.8%+2.0%+11.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Phoenix Rising ↓ / El Paso Locomo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 8% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Phoenix Rising and El Paso Locomotive expected goals

Phoenix Rising 1.13
El Paso Locomotive 1.43

Total expected goals: 2.56

Phoenix Rising and El Paso Locomotive attack and defence ratings

Phoenix Rising

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.02 +2%

El Paso Locomotive

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive: result vs prediction

Phoenix Rising 1 – 3 El Paso Locomotive

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Phoenix Rising 38.6% 2.59 -13.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.8% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.8% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.4% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Phoenix Rising38.6%
Draw27.2%
El Paso Locomotive34.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.2%
Under 2.552.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.8%
No47.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.8%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)61.4%
Handicap -1Phoenix Rising win11.8%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss71.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
0-19.8%
1-29.0%

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive stats

Phoenix Rising and El Paso Locomotive recent form

newest first
Phoenix Rising WDWDWL
El Paso Locomotive WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Phoenix Rising and El Paso Locomotive going into this match

league record before kick-off

Phoenix Rising record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

El Paso Locomotive record

  • They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Phoenix Rising wins 6Draws 1El Paso Locomotive wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-14El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingUSL Championship1-1
2025-11-02El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingUSL Championship0-1
2025-08-31Phoenix RisingEl Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship3-3
2025-07-20El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingUSL League One Cup2-2
2025-03-16El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingUSL Championship4-4
2024-07-20Phoenix RisingEl Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship2-0
2024-06-16El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingUSL Championship1-1
2023-09-24El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingUSL Championship1-1
2023-08-13Phoenix RisingEl Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship5-0
2022-08-28El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingUSL Championship3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 26.7%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.16 3.30 2.94
Bet365 2.10 3.50 2.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.50 2.90
Betano 2.20 3.35 2.87
Betfair 2.20 3.50 2.80
Marathonbet 2.14 3.30 2.88
Pinnacle 2.24 3.59 3.03
William Hill 2.15 3.25 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.16 ▼ -0.04
X 3.40 ▲ +0.19
2 2.90 —

10 snapshots recorded, from .