USL Championship
·
Full time
·Group Stage
El Paso Locomotive
vs
FC Tulsa
1 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | L. Dorsey | ||
| 12′ | J. Kocevski | ||
| 14′ | W. Eisner | ||
| 17′ | R. Avila | ||
| 36′ | Ian | ||
| 49′ | D. Pierre | ||
| 61′ | D. BorczakO. Damm | ||
| 61′ | W. WilsonR. Cabral | ||
| 62′ | IanJ. Sangwa | ||
| 64′ | R. RuizD. Gomez | ||
| 66′ | O. Damm | ||
| 69′ | Gabriel Torres | ||
| 72′ | A. MorenoA. Quezada | ||
| 72′ | R. CoronadoO. Mora | ||
| 75′ | Tony Alfaro | ||
| 83′ | R. AvilaG. Diaz | ||
| 86′ | L. DorseyS. Lukic | ||
| 90′ | L. Stauffer |
El Paso Locomotive
51%
Draw
26%
FC Tulsa
22%
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa
| Probability | El Paso Locomotive | Draw | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.7% | 28.3% | 16.0% |
| Market | 49.8% | 25.8% | 24.4% |
| Final | 51.3% | 26.4% | 22.3% |
| Edge | +6.0% | +2.5% | -8.4% |
Why El Paso Locomotive
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices El Paso Locomotive below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
38%
No goals
12%
El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa expected goals
El Paso Locomotive
1.51
FC Tulsa
0.70
Total expected goals: 2.21
El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa attack and defence ratings
El Paso Locomotive
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.65 -35%
FC Tulsa
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa: result vs prediction
El Paso Locomotive 1 – 1 FC Tulsa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Paso Locomotive | 51.3% | 1.95 | +6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Paso Locomotive | 51.3% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| FC Tulsa | 22.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.3% |
| No | 59.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | El Paso Locomotive win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.9% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | |
| 2-0 | 12.6% |
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa stats
El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa recent form
| El Paso Locomotive |
WWWWWW |
| FC Tulsa |
DLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa going into this match
El Paso Locomotive record
- They have won 14 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
FC Tulsa record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3El Paso Locomotive wins
4Draws
3FC Tulsa wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | FC Tulsa | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-30 | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-19 | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | FC Tulsa | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-06 | FC Tulsa | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-28 | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-01 | FC Tulsa | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-05 | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-10 | FC Tulsa | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-11 | El Paso Locomotive | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 25.9%, away 24.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.52 | 3.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.45 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.52 | 3.66 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 3.74 | 3.83 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.83 ▲ +0.05
X
3.52 ▼ -0.02
2
3.72 ▼ -0.23
11 snapshots recorded, from .