Lexington
vs
El Paso Locomotive
3 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | Gabriel TorresG. Diaz | ||
| 24′ | A. Ortiz | ||
| 32′ | X. Zengue | ||
| 37′ | A. Moreno | ||
| 45′ | J. Gonzalez | ||
| 57′ | Nick FirminoB. P. Rodrigues | ||
| 62′ | P. Goodrum | ||
| 64′ | J. Greene | ||
| 66′ | B. P. Rodrigues | ||
| 67′ | R. CoronadoD. Gomez | ||
| 67′ | K. HobanK. Twumasi | ||
| 69′ | M. FryM. Yosef | ||
| 69′ | J. GreeneM. Muir | ||
| 82′ | A. MendezO. Mora | ||
| 82′ | R. AvilaC. Fernandez | ||
| 83′ | P. GoodrumT. Scott | ||
| 83′ | B. FerriM. Tschantret |
Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive
| Probability | Lexington | Draw | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 26.8% | 31.5% |
| Market | 49.4% | 24.9% | 25.7% |
| Final | 47.5% | 25.3% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -7.7% | +1.9% | +5.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lexington and El Paso Locomotive expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Lexington and El Paso Locomotive attack and defence ratings
Lexington
El Paso Locomotive
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive: result vs prediction
Lexington 3 – 1 El Paso Locomotive
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lexington | 47.5% | 2.11 | -7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lexington | 47.5% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| El Paso Locomotive | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lexington win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive stats
Lexington and El Paso Locomotive recent form
| Lexington |
WWWLLL |
| El Paso Locomotive |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lexington and El Paso Locomotive going into this match
Lexington record
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
El Paso Locomotive record
- They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | El Paso Locomotive | Lexington | USL Championship | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-11 | Lexington | El Paso Locomotive | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-06 | El Paso Locomotive | Lexington | USL Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 24.9%, away 25.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 4.02 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.65 | 3.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 4.08 | 3.61 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .