Lexington
vs
FC Tulsa
0 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | W. WilsonJ. Kocevski | ||
| 61′ | Nick FirminoB. P. Rodrigues | ||
| 67′ | A. OrdonezG. Colli | ||
| 75′ | M. FryM. Yosef | ||
| 76′ | L. DorseyR. Cabral | ||
| 76′ | B. DialloS. Lukic | ||
| 86′ | J. WebberD. Pierre | ||
| 90′ | J. Kocevski | ||
| 90′ | P. Goodrum |
Lexington vs FC Tulsa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lexington vs FC Tulsa
| Probability | Lexington | Draw | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.7% | 26.3% | 20.0% |
| Market | 53.9% | 25.2% | 20.9% |
| Final | 53.8% | 25.5% | 20.7% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +0.3% | -0.2% |
Why Lexington
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lexington and FC Tulsa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Lexington and FC Tulsa attack and defence ratings
Lexington
FC Tulsa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lexington vs FC Tulsa: result vs prediction
Lexington 0 – 0 FC Tulsa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Lexington vs FC Tulsa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lexington | 53.8% | 1.86 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lexington | 53.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| FC Tulsa | 20.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lexington win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 46.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |
Lexington vs FC Tulsa stats
Lexington and FC Tulsa recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lexington and FC Tulsa going into this match
Lexington record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Tulsa record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Lexington vs FC Tulsa head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | FC Tulsa | Lexington | USL Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | FC Tulsa | Lexington | USL Championship | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Lexington | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lexington vs FC Tulsa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.9%, draw 25.2%, away 20.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.65 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.65 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.78 | 4.85 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .