FC Tulsa
vs
Oakland Roots
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Tulsa
1 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots
| Probability | FC Tulsa | Draw | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 38.8% | 19.9% |
| Market | 45.9% | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| Final | 44.7% | 30.0% | 25.3% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +11.8% | -7.2% |
Why FC Tulsa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.91 vs 0.54.
Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots match preview
FC Tulsa faces Oakland Roots in the USL Championship with a projected probability of 41% for a home win, while a draw stands at 39% and an away victory for Oakland Roots at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of FC Tulsa, occurring at a rate of 20%. Both teams have struggled to find the net, with expected goals of 0.91 for FC Tulsa and 0.54 for Oakland Roots.
Recent form shows FC Tulsa with two draws and a win in their last five matches, while Oakland Roots has two wins and three draws in the same period. In their last three encounters, FC Tulsa has not secured a win, recording two draws and one loss to Oakland Roots. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Tulsa and Oakland Roots expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.45
FC Tulsa and Oakland Roots attack and defence ratings
FC Tulsa
Oakland Roots
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tulsa | 44.7% | 2.24 | -4.5% | 2.06 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tulsa | 44.7% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Oakland Roots | 25.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.1% |
| No | 73.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tulsa win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.6% |
| 1-0 | 20.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.7% |
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots stats
FC Tulsa and Oakland Roots recent form
| FC Tulsa |
DDWDDL |
| Oakland Roots |
DDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Tulsa and Oakland Roots season so far
FC Tulsa record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oakland Roots record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Oakland Roots | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Oakland Roots | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Tulsa | Oakland Roots | USL Championship | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | Oakland Roots | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | FC Tulsa | Oakland Roots | USL Championship | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-17 | Oakland Roots | FC Tulsa | USL Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 27.1%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.32 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.32 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.51 | 3.49 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .